Monthly Archives: August 2024

Winnings

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Not all…

…winnings…

…are tangible.

Intangible winnings…

…can be far greater…

…in stature.

One can carry these with…

…anywhere.

Don’t need to know more.

They’ve won their case already.

Let’s break this down, using a concrete example.

Let’s take this blog.

First, the losses.

Subscribers?

Hardly.

Financial loss?

A few pennies a day, equalling domain charges plus plus divided by 365.

Effort loss?

Yes, a lot of effort goes in. However, it is rewarded heavily, though indirectly. Since there are no more losses, let’s talk about winnings.

Sharpening of skill – maximum.

As words flow, ideas are elucidated, take greater shape, and are cemented into a system.

I’ve often spoken about the fact that this blog can also be seen as fundamental / critical / what have you research towards developing a 360 degree unified market field approach. I think I’m there.

Let’s look at the system that has evolved over the last fourteen years – specifically, let’s look at modules incorporated.

Small Entry Quantum.

Non-Linear Position-Sizing.

Cost-Free-Ness.

Long-Term-Hold.

Positional-Hold (culminating in trade booked with cost-free-ness generated).

2 Demat Approach.

GTT incorporation.

Buy Low.

Sell High.

Entry.

Sitting.

Letting Profits Run.

Exit.

Averaging Down.

(Stop-)Loss attenuated by Cost-Free-Ness’s capability to rise by…

…’Banking on Infinity’…

…in a Non-Linear Long-Term Growth-Market.

The Zone.

The Line.

Fitting.

Market Forces.

Market Presence.

List goes on.

Bottom line is that what has emerged is a decent-size double-digit list of modules incorporated into one clear-cut, multi-level and dynamic wealth-creating strategy…

…with results that make ‘losses’ due to lack of subscribers statistically too small to even mention.

I write to create a magnificent system, and to keep fine-tuning it.

My system creates wealth for my family.

I donate a small part of our wealth to charity.

Hence my writing facilitates pro-bono work.

Some of the few readers of this blog might one day choose to implement a few modules, or perhaps the whole approach. I’m happy for them. God bless them. Magic Bull is completely free, and is part of my give-back to society.

I create good causes with my writing.

While writing, I feel buoyant, sharp, and fulfilled, carrying this combination of feelings into the day, spilling them over into other good causes created over the whole day.

Am thankful for this avenue, since it gives my creativity an outlet.

🙂

Flexibility?

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Sure…,

…one should be flexible in life.

What about in the markets?

Is this an asset in the markets?

Well…,

…yes and no.

Make a system.

Be flexible whilst putting it together.

Fine.

Narrow down the broader view during this exercise.

As narrowing down progresses, flexibility reduces.

Keep this process going…

…till it’s a fit.

Fit?

Yes, fit between the implementer and the system.

Both need to fit.

Once there is a fit, there’s no room for flexibility.

It’s a fit folks, one is not talking in terms of flexibility anymore.

The need for flexibility has been taken out, by fitting, fitting, fitting…,

…till it’s a fit.

Now one actually needs to behave as if one’s created system is a black box.

Launch the system.

Period.

System will clock some hits.

There will be some near misses too.

As long as results are satisfactory, system keeps rolling.

Under no circumstances is there any requirement to accommodate the near misses into the system, as of now, please.

One does feel one’s system is satisfactory, right?

Right.

Keep implementing.

No?

Cancel black box status.

Commence fitting.

Come up with a new system…

…that works better under existing circumstances…

…and keep it rolling till it works.

Bridging

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Rules of the game…

…are quite clear…

…and out there.

People like me…

…talk about them.

Everyone’s heard of, seen or read them, somewhere or the other.

Why hasn’t everyone cracked the markets?

There are some aspects to these rules, which are difficult to execute for most.

Like?

Buying low.

Selling high.

Holding.

Sitting.

Bridging.

Etc.

Today we’ll talk about bridging.

Actionable situations are few in number.

One acts from situation to situation.

The time in between – one bridges.

How?

By investing in oneself.

What’s that?

It’s something intangible, like learning a skill.

Or fine-tuning one.

Yes, that’s right, one bridges gap after gap, with investment in oneself.

This kind of investment is never wasted.

One carries it like a stamp on one’s soul.

Eventually the Universe knows how to utilize one, and one’s skill

First let’s put ourselves out there for the Universe to utilize.

Money made in the markets through lucrative action implemented at actionable situations will remain in this domain.

The satisfaction emanating from having worked, even temporarily, for the Universe, is something one will carry.

Wherever one goes.

Oh, forgot to mention, repeated investment in oneself keeps one sharp, ready to recognize the next actionable situation, and poised to act in the most lucrative possible manner.

Discerners

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Hey,

We learn…

…to discern.

Primarily, what we’re looking out for…

…is a real deal…

…amidst noise.

To reiterate, we need to know the difference between noise and situations we must act upon.

The thing about noise is, …

…it’s messy.

It’s not difficult to recognize the stalky forest of noise.

However, sometimes, …

…one has trouble seeing the forest for the trees.

One needs to give noise space.

View it from a distance.

Hands-off.

For a while.

One will know it’s noise.

Situations requiring action are much clearer.

Mostly we pre-define them.

When our definition is hit, we get alerted.

Then we act.

We’ve taken any fear out of our action by mentally preparing ourselves by the time the action situation arrives.

Sometimes, situations develop very fast.

There’s been no pre-definition.

This is where we are tested.

Are we there to see the fast situation unfolding?

Mostly not.

The solution to this is to pre-empt lucrative scenarios and feed in good till triggered (GTT) orders.

These remain in the system for one year on some platforms.

If we’ve been lazy and haven’t fed in our GTTs, we need to recognize an unfolding situation.

Most have that capability.

Most are also afraid.

Can we quickly eliminate fear and act?

Those who can win big over a large sample size.

Holding

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Hey.

I hold…

…my course.

Steering gets tough at times.

The most difficult time to continue holding…

…is during adversity.

The line held drops for a bit.

One veers off the path.

While off, there’s a lot of reflection.

Was one better off on course?

There was stability.

Routine.

Continuity.

A logical conclusion.

Satisfaction.

Achievement.

Success.

Etc.

Whilst off, random, non-linked and irrational causes are created.

These causes are useless in the long-term scheme of things. In fact, their effects hamper.

So, how to continue to stay on course, especially during adversity? Nichiren Buddhism shows the way.

One can pick up activities that simultaneously create good causes.

One can set a daily goal.

Each day one strives to achieve the goal.

While doing (these), one forgets the circumstance, the adversity or the whatever that’s been bothering one.

However, if one is not comfortable following a set formula, on a personal note one could well establish one’s own methods of making powerful good causes too.

The feeling of immersion and happiness emerging from the good causes created engulfs the persona and takes one forward steadfastly into the day, and to a night of satisfying sleep.

There will be a next time, when holding will look difficult.

At the next juncture, one will try and remember that one successfully navigated through last time.

And, that one can repeat the strategy that saw one through, to see one through yet again.

Taking this loop to the nth, life becomes a ballad of ons and off, with resolute efforts to get back on after each off.

Vital towards getting back on are good fortune earned from the many good causes created, and will power strengthened from multiple jumps back on.

Approach

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Hey,

Just did a mental review about my approach to the markets over the years.

Saw how I started out.

What was the motivation?

Strategy?

Mindset?

Outcome?

Then gauged these parameters after being in the markets for ten years.

And, finally, assessed the same as of today, after being in the markets for twenty years.

Here are a few observations.

Approach softened over the years.

Not in quantity. Will come to that in a bit.

No, approach became opportunity-linked.

One didn’t wish that the markets would be somewhere.

One played them where they were, as was worthy of that situation.

One wasn’t tense.

One had rules. Approach was now rule-based.

One enjoyed the approach.

It was relaxing.

It now gave a kick.

Now, there was feeling of achievement.

Of creation.

Of success.

Earlier, all this wasn’t there.

One was tense most of the time.

One followed markets all the time.

Sometimes, sleep eluded.

Now, after market hours, what market? When you don’t think about it, it doesn’t exist, for you.

I’d said I would mention quantity, which has been increasing steadily, since it’s a function of portfolio-size.

So, in a nutshell, benefits abound, upon ever-increasing quantity?

What’s happened?

What’s changed?

Have gotten into a groove.

Found a sweet-spot.

Entered a zone. The Zone, perhaps.

It’s like that ‘perfect’ cover drive, or an optimal trajectory golf drive shot resulting in a birdie for the hole. Don’t wish to use ‘hole-in-one’ here, that would be too much… .

In the Zone, you know things.

Someone outside the Zone will ask how one knows.

Don’t know. One just knows.

One can attach oneself to the swing of the Universe.

One is one with the swing.

It takes time to get into the groove.

For me, make that twenty years.

One becomes mouldable, and flows with the current of the Zone.

I enjoy my approach.

It’s not tangible.

Visibility is not my criterion.

What is, then?

Fulfilment.

If my approach is all I have when I die, I’ll leave with a feeling of fulfilment.

Wires

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In a one-liner…

…the ‘magic’ formula…

…to crack the market would be to…

…’buy low, sell high’.

Reading this line in a normal mental condition, it is natural for us to say…

…’oh, so simple?!!’

That’s just it.

Cracking Mrs. Market is a ‘simple’ process… … … .

However,…

…the question that screams for our attention is…

…’pray who is in a normal mental condition?’

And the answer is this.

When it counts, almost no one.

When does it count?

At lows and highs.

At lows we are in a frenzy. Panic. ‘Blood’. No one considers buying, even remotely. Those who want to, and would have, are not liquid. Exceptions take the plunge.

At highs, we are exuberant. We know it all. We are the kings. Please don’t tell us to sell. We’re not selling. ‘Hubris’. Those who want to sell, and would have sold, are told irrefutably by family members to forget about even thinking of selling. Exceptions ward off the pressure and make the sale.

We want to be those exceptions.

How do we get there?

It’s about wiring.

Our normal wiring makes us act normally, in a manner where big profits can’t be made.

We need to rewire.

We need to be uncomfortable when markets rise, uncomfortable enough to at least take our principals out. During lows, we need to find comfort in the very idea of entering, thus redeploying our freed-up principals.

How does one rewire?

By being in the market…

…small…

…for long…

…learning to lose small…

…and to win big by letting profits run.

Perhaps very big, over time, by allowing one’s cost-free-ness to remain in the market for a very long hold.

Activation

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Wrt success and happiness…

…what was your pick.

You said both, right?

There was a thing about that, though.

Thing was, success made one happy, sure, but how long did that particular happiness last?

It got boring after a point.

Taking any one thing, and succeeding at it again and again and again, gave no kick anymore, after a while.

Because everyone wished to succeed in life, and, also, because everyone strove to be happy, how would one go about making the happy condition regular, in worldly terms, apart from the spiritual angle?

Accumulation and activation of good fortune was a must here. How would one go about this?

By doing anything that helped the cause of another. By doing good deeds that helped something, or someone. This would then create a field of good fortune. On such very field, success could flow, towards one. No field meant no flow. Creating field after field, then moving on to create another – such behaviour would accumulate mountains of good fortune, which, upon breaching of critical mass, would get activated for fruition. Activation was important, since initial success motivated one to continue.

On this trajectory, success would eventually overflow. Perhaps there would be fame.

Hey, what had happened to one’s happiness?

Did it increase post activation? Upon fame? Or did it decline?

Down the line, the high would summon its buddy, the low.

Between highs and lows, there was a high chance of balance being lost. Happiness levels would start to decrease. There came a time when it was gone.

One started to ask. When was one happiest?

While creating field upon field, yes, that seemed correct, that’s when one was happiest.

Creation of good fortune, the sheer act, that was it.

One didn’t seem to bore of that particular kind of happiness emanating from creation.

That brought us back to the basic question.

What was worth striving for most in life?

To immerse repeatedly into the act? The act of creating good fortune?

That seemed to be the best answer.

Magnets

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Numbers…

…can behave like magnets.

Most of the time, and for most people, however, they don’t.

Yet, I know they do.

How?

From live example.

Haven’t figured out the dynamics (yet).

For example, when certain patterns or combinations prevail, I find my head turning towards them.

It’s happened too many times for it to be a healthy coincidence.

So…

…first let’s acknowledge, that this is a phenomenon.

Secondly, l’m acknowledging current lack of understanding of the mechanism.

Thirdly, yes, I acknowledge that I don’t care how it works. Bottomline is that it works.

Do you necessarily know the physics that propels a car? Yet, you drive or travel in one.

Have you mastered the biochemistry of a body-cell? Yet you live, perhaps thrive.

Looking beyond the ‘first tell me how it works’ attitude, we are far more interested in harnessing the power of the phenomenon.

Number Patterns.

Chart patterns.

Some indicate entries. Others exits. Yet others status quo.

Single numbers.

Combinations.

Some remind us of events.

Loved ones.

Warnings.

Messges.

Figure out what’s happening around you.

The universe is speaking to us with this tool.

Do we have the capacity to listen?

Understand?

Act?

No?

Why not? Rise and grab the tool and its benefits.

Yes?

Wonderful!

🙂

Opportunity

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Knock knock.

Nobody home.

See you, bye. Maybe never.

Knock knock.

Come in.

This is the requirement.

No funds.

Bye.

Knock knock.

Hey. Funds not a problem.

Guts?

What if I lose?

Bye.

Knock knock.

I wish to invest and the risk is digestible.

Ok. Pull the trigger.

Should we wait for a better price?

Bye.

Knock knock.

Let’s pull the trigger.

Ok.

There.

Bye.

Hey, it’s been a month and I’m up 10%. Let’s cash out.

Ok. Bye.

Knock knock.

This time I’ll let my profit run. The last one doubled in 6 months, but I’d cashed out after a minuscule rise.

So you’ve learnt how to sit?

I keep a lookout for you. If I’m not home I get alerted to your presence, so that I can act in time.

Then, I always maintain ample liquidity for you.

The amounts I put in make my risk digestible, looking at the total size of my portfolio and liquidity.

Once you knock, I’m not afraid to pull the trigger anymore.

I’ve learnt to let multibaggers develop. I don’t nip them in the bud anymore.

Wonderful. Now add cost-free-ness to your repertoire.

Why?

It’ll trick your mind into holding your multibagger eternally, so that it is given the chance of becoming a megabagger.

Will do, thanks, cost-free-ness won’t cost me anything, right?

Not a penny.

2050?

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Yes.

Why?

Why what?

Why 2050?

Growth trajectory.

Whose?

India’s.

What about it?

Spurts with bottlenecks. Not linear.

So?

Will take 2050 till fruition.

Meaning, for you?

Quest for multibagger accumulation will be successfully achieved.

By 2050?

Yeah.

Anything else?

My own trajectory.

Will you be around?

Not relevant.

Why?

I’ll leave the assets as my legacy.

To whom?

Family. Country. Charity.

Striving and then leaving it?

Doesn’t cause me any reaction.

Why?

It’s cost-free.

Meaning?

My principal is not invested. Pulled it out in profit. What remains in the markets is cost-free. I live and enjoy my life on my income, simultaneously creating a cost-free legacy. The cost-free-ness tricks my mind into an eternal hold. I stop jumping. Vicissitudes of price path have no meaning for me once something has become cost-free.

And why stop in 2050?

Growth culmination. India enters first-world territory. It becomes difficult to create multiples fast. Life is far more efficient, and so is price, then. Loopholes are filled in by artificial intelligence before an EoD chap like me can react. Info-flow is so fast and transparent, that everybody knows. Everyone is smart because they use the appropriate tools. Since all money is smart, there’s no edge anymore. But that’s 2050. Today, oh, there are edges. Inefficiency lasting longer than EoD. Sometimes lasting months. Loopholes. Pattern related. Operator related. Price related. AI is not fully there yet. Most market players are not smart, I think the official statistic reads 88%. Almost all tools look at the wrong stuff. By the time one reacts to indicators, which are a function of price, most of the edge is gone. Information-flow is not fast enough, and if you can read it in the numbers or the chart before it happens, the edge is huge. And, forget about transparency. It’s just not there. We’re sitting of big edges currently.

So, 2050, stop, and then what?

No idea. Let’s go with the flow. Right now the flow is leading up to 2050.

And what if there are world-shattering events before that?

We buy. We are almost always highly liquid. When we’re not, we start creating liquidity. We are never illiquid. 2050 is just a number. We have numbers to go on, like lamp-posts. It’s another lamp-post, like 1984, or Y2k, or what have you.

Do you want to be the person remembered for 2050?

That’s not even a question for me. I’m flowing with 2050 because that works for me. I don’t care about the rest. If you wish to think with that mindset, that’s on you.

Why rude?

Nothing rude or not rude about it. 2050 is part of my framework. Nothing more, nothing less.

I see.

Whetting

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What does it take…

…to convince my mind…

…that something’s a very long-term hold?

What am I looking for?

Longevity. Actually, perceived longevity. Perceived in my mind. Mind matters. When the mind is shaken, one lets go. For something to be a long-term hold, the mind needs to be long-term convinced.

Lack of dependency. On water. On other natural resources. On CapEx. On real-estate.

Immunity to trend-change.

Adaptability to disruption. As much proximity to a state of anti-fragility as possible. Entry price and cost-free-ness will reinforce proximity to anti-fragility.

Diligent, share-holder friendly management with good track record, with repeated examples of wealth-creation through exploitation of multiple avenues available.

A product line that is more dependent on human capital than on machinery.

Copious, intelligent, reasonably priced human capital. With that we’ve knocked out inflation.

Very decent margin of safety at entry point. With that we’ve accounted for any remaining idiosyncrasies in capable managements and / or otherwise humane promoters.

Lack of debt. We’re ok with reasonable amounts borrowed at reasonable rates for day to day working capital, but not a big fan of long-term debt.

No smoke cloud. Talking about scams, frauds, bribes, court-cases and the like.

That’s ten things already.

I take these ten, sift through the Nifty 500, and get 43 underlyings, which, for me, satisfy these criteria.

That’s it.

I play with these.

That’s all the whetting I need.

You’re saying I didn’t mention numbers. Metrics. Ratios.

Numbers come and go. Basics remain. When the basics are right, numbers will be intact for long, and for a few quarters they won’t be. Those are re-entry opportunities.

Good basics create good numbers, repeatedly. We are making sure that we are only entering into good basics.

Now the ball’s in your court.

Create your criteria.

What works for you?

Sift through.

Narrow down.

What remains are your whetted stocks.

Start your game.

It’s a long one, so…

…wishing you stamina!

🙂

2050

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Hey,

There’s a Street View… ,

… , and then there’s a street view.

I rely on…

…my street view.

Making it a point not to heed that the Street thinks, I repeatedly look for micro and macro signs on my street.

My street is where I am.

I mostly spend my time in my own country.

And, my street view is one of staggered growth.

There’s development…

…with holdups waiting to happen out of nowhere, and often.

That’s India, for me.

Am I going to cry?

I scream, actually, at apathy prevailing, but from the inside. To no avail. At one point the screaming stops. The only thing remains is to take advantage. I’ll make it up for India. Part of the money earned will go towards a private initiative towards my country’s development. So, no guilty-conscience here. My country gives me repeated opportunities. Why should I not take them? India does give me grief too. It’s ok. I love my country. We both can take liberties with each other, as do parents and children between themselves.

Owing to our attitudinal coordinates, our country is full of bottlenecks, and these bring a rising entity down, regularly.

Apart from that we’re emotional.

Over-emotional, actually.

So what’s going down goes down by an unhealthy multiple.

Activation.

Chart Pattern?

Numbers talking to you?

Method.

System development.

Pinpoint.

Enter.

Sizably.

Making size a function of portfolio magnitude.

When something here rises, one lets it ride with a stop that eventually triggers, then trails.

One never books a winner fully in India. Not in this bull market.

Billion dollar strategy.

One first goes cost-free.

And then some.

After one’s in-the-profit stop is triggered and then hit, one takes one’s principal out, with which one will fight the next battle, the next quest for cost-free-ness.

One leaves one’s cost-free-ness created on the table and shifts if out of sight and out of mind.

One’s cost-free-ness can be held for a long, long time.

Till 2050?

Yes, if the underlying has been duly whetted for a 2050 hold.

That’s how we play India.

Till 2050.