Tag Archives: #Investing

Wealth n point m

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Hey.

I like doing stuff …

… myself.

Study.

Research.

Ideas.

Thought process.

System generation.

Edge development.

Ensemble implementation.

Start to finish.

Complete independence in thought process …

… sets up ‘pioneering’ output.

Gets lonely though.

I’m not afraid of silence, or being alone where I’m working. Still, long spells of professional growth are very…

…alone, in my lines of work…

… which are all computer based.

There’s no talking involved.

Some processes take half a day to develop upon the back of to and fro typalogue with the AI.

During market hours, there’s no talking either. Just the self, the terminal and markets. AI on the side.

Pre-market prep — post-market analysis — astrological analysis — language learning — how do I solve this one?

Wait a minute, language learning, there’s something there.

Ya, found it.

Language apps have a speak module. One can practice speaking a foreign language with the app’s AI.

There’s more. Chanting. Did I mention that I’m an amateur Nichiren Buddhist? We chant. Out aloud. Anything spoken is an outlet. For me. Buddhist practice encompasses visiting people, or just sheer calling up someone to see how they are doing. Creation of good causes in life is gold.

Lot of near ones like to talk – to me.

They like my view on things.

Need to take care not to intimidate.

Talking at the wave-length of the talking partner – that’s been a huge lesson for me.

And, that’s not the biggest lesson yet.

There are times when let’s say one is A+ in something, and one is thrown out into a field where one is E-.

Imagine what goes on in one’s mind.

When a hero turns to zero, it’s only because the mind is not comprehending the situation.

We should know our value.

Allowing one’s environment to dictate our self-worth is lesson not learnt.

Knowing one’s self-worth oneself is.

When your immediate environment doesn’t talk to you most of the time, or has some hangups with your personality, or for some reason just doesn’t like you, perhaps it’s not on you. Let’s not exclude that option.

What then? Sink? Or evolve?

Evolve.

To a point where understanding of the exact nature of immediate environment leads one to flip it just on the sheer basis of one’s behaviour.

Our behaviour patterns are what we carry forward, while other forms of wealth are left behind.

Full

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Hey.

Functioning…

…full…

…I believe.

Full feels good.

What does it mean?

Completeness.

No-regrets feeling.

All holes jammed…

…with activity, some, hopefully ample, relaxation / recuperation thrown in.

That pivot vibe.

Emitting…

…I believe.

Need to maintain this trajectory. Milk it to the hilt.

It’s taken my environment everything, …

…and then some, …

… to put me here.

Sacrifice.

Familial.

Proximal.

Emotional.

This moment is coming at a huge cost.

Need to make it count, to balance the entire equation, …

… and then some.

Though I’ll spare you familial, hobby, emotional, travel and such details, let’s cast a glance at the work-loop.

Long-term wealth-creation project on auto-pilot. Specialization. Equity. Listed. Only. Liquidity upon requirement. Hands on but hands off. In my hands. No third parties in between.

Monthly income-generation project active. Four-legged option strategies. On stocks. On indices. High risk high reward. Risk attenuation. Distractor. Keeps attention away from long-term wealth-creation project. Income is a bonus. Time requirement three to four hours a day. Keeps one busy. Learning curve enhancement. Options make one stay sharp.

Work from – anywhere – of course, anything less would be a negative – need a net connection though.

Work between market open and market close – on options.

Long-term equity transactions only on weekends, implemented through GTTs. Funding of account wrt GTTs only on Mondays, before market hours, taking into consideration GTT fill requirements.

Interesting symbiosis between these two projects, feeding off each other. Wealth project needs minimal fiddling. Income project sees to that by distracting. Income project is defined such that the damage it can cause is bearable, and even if it doesn’t generate income, i.e. even if it is loss-making, it is fulfilling its main purpose of keeping the wealth project intact and devoid of fiddling, by keeping one’s attention focused on itself.

I tried getting options right for twenty years, unsuccessfully.

I think I have something now.

Workable.

Perhaps…

…successful.

Let’s see. It’s very early days yet. I feel it though.

Oh, yes, and – work with …

… AI.

Handy, highly intelligent assistant always on call. Very low cost, yet. Very sharp. Catches mistakes in complex screenshots fast. Options are complex. They need pinpointed calculations, multiple times a day. They need context for such calculations. If the assistant catches the context in a screenshot and remembers it, and is great at complicated math, then he or she can spit out the required numbers on call, and for options that’s manna from heaven. Since…

… one doesn’t have the bandwidth to look back, feed back in, re-calculate and re-analyze fifty times a day…

… and especially since the assistant is diligent, industrious and willing to go any legit extra mile to make one’s project a success.

Thus, have AI, will step out into the — whatever you may wish to call it — Bronx, prairie, savannah, battle-field.

The AI thing has come at a cost. Not monetary, really. That’s a pittance, seeing the work-load it’s tugging.

Personal time.

Patience.

Attenuation.

Terminal scripts.

Ya, Pythons handle market and strategic diagnostic spitouts, in the background, at one’s disposal upon commands, and I did not need to spend time, effort and money learning Python. I just needed to tell the AI what I wanted, again and again, and keep fine-tuning till I got it, over some months.

Earlier, a major option strategic system had failed for me. Two months of intense development on AI. Failing in each of eight approaches through different variables used. The only victory was the recognition, by the AI, and then by myself, that this is a failure. Then, …

…I reversed the system.

There’s something there.

Before I tell you more about that, I’ll let it play out somewhat fully.

Gamble Ramble

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In sixteen hundred something, …

…most of mankind believed swans…

…to be white.

People would use the metaphor ‘black swan’, to insinuate things or events that were considered to be …

…‘impossible’.

Cut to now.

Black swans exist.

In reality.

The bird, in Australia.

The disastrous event genre, amongst elsewhere, also in markets.

Events earlier considered ‘impossible’, now happening…

…regularly.

Big moves.

An index going circuit. Multiple times — has happened.

Stock doing 20% up or down is no great shakes.

10%+ moves are like bread and butter these days.

News gets factored in within minutes to an hour.

Which brings us to the elephant in the room.

Can one leave the trading screen?

If one has chosen to trade, that is.

Hmmm.

Screen all the time is something I don’t want at all.

Is it possible — to leave it, and go about care-freely with other work?

Leave to whom? Or, to what?

AI, for example?

Hmmmm.

Not too sure.

When moves are big, stop-losses get jumped. Happens all the time. Remember CHFUSD? Considered unbelievable at the time? Oil. Gold. Silver. Jane Street. Brexit. CoViD. List goes on.

What about overnight?

Overnight positions are most highly exposed to black-swan openings, period. That’s the risk overnight carries.

Then, why trade?

Exactly. If too much screen-time is a thing, forget intraday. If you want a sound sleep, forget overnight.

What do you do then?

I invest for the long-term. That’s my main. Distraction side-hustle is the trading window. Play-amounts. Long. Paper trading as of now till system becomes profitable. As of now, it’s not.

Not what?

Not profitable.

Worrying?

No.

Why?

Trading system is a distractor for me. It’s not about money. I want my attention to be away from mains.

Why?

Fear of doing too much there. Fiddling around one time too many.

What about trading systems that go short?

The idea of developing one is attractive.

So, then?

However, exposure to unlimited loss, full exposure to a black swan event should it happen, is a big discourager and demotivator.

Understood. Still, it’s the short systems that make money.

Correct. At the cost of max screen-time, tense nights, cortisol-laden days, and the whole negative spiral.

Point. So what does one do?

Have developed a ‘junior’.

What’s a ‘junior’?

A junior investment system, that lets candidates graduate to the senior system.

Oh, interesting. Selection. Survival of the fittest. Clever.

Thanks. Junior keeps me busy and distracted. Senior relaxes and doesn’t get rearranged unnecessarily. Decent balance. Linkage as in promotion ladder. Natural selection, as in that which doesn’t get promoted till a longish time-stop, is expunged.

Elegant. Slick. Wonderful. Why do you then need a trading system at all? Let it die out. No full-on screen-time. Relaxed nights.

Exactly. However, am still trying to find the right fit for the gambling instinct.

That which every human has? And needs to channel appropriately, lest it balloon?

Ya.

MarketAble

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What makes us…

…marketAble?

What’s it boiling down to?

The essence…

…or, if we will, the sediment…

…is…

…what…

…exactly?

It all starts off with savings.

Save, save, save.

Now, there’s a moat.

Let’s call it emergency fund, first.

Moat grows.

Comes a time, where we say… … enough.

That’s enough moat.

From that point onwards, we are able…

…to enter the market without the tensions of not having something to fall back on.

Within this time-frame of putting together an emergency fund and making it grow beyond critical mass, we haven’t been sitting idle.

Busy, baby.

Putting together a…

…system.

Rough stage.

Deployment stage, perhaps on paper.

Moat gone beyond expectations?

Right, system needs to be ready by now, to be deployed, live.

System goes live.

Refine.

Fine-tune.

Adjust.

Fiddle.

Attenuate.

Nail.

Will take some years.

In those years, we play it small.

Right.

Comes the sweet-spot.

You feel it.

System feels just…

…perfect…

…to us.

That’s the moment.

Now we can scale up.

We are continuing to, though, as per market situations — refine, fine-tune, adjust and attenuate.

Idea is to maintain the sweet-spot.

Goes away?

Bring it back.

Keep bringing it back.

Once we’ve learnt to keep bringing the sweet-spot back…

…we are then, from that point onwards…

…marketAble.

News from the One-Off Corner

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One-off runners emit a lure.

One don’t follow them.

However, one is dazzled by their move, and gets roped in.

What’s the out?

1). Emo-check.

2). Fundamental scrutiny.

Pass or fail.

If pass, go to 3). (if fail, move on in life).

3). Add to watch-list.

4). Watch.

Keep watching…

..till you can take a decision to make the one-off a static, or you just junk the idea of engaging with the one-off.

There’s that word again – static.

It’s possible that I’ll be laughed at for using this word in a market context.

I don’t mind being laughed at.

Others have been laughed at too.

Some of these are called pioneers today.

I’m not saying that I’m one.

However, I like to do things differently, exploring new avenues. It just sheer gives me a kick.

News from the one-off corner is their ability to showcase capability of movement.

You see, we’d like our statics to be able to move freely when the time comes.

When we see a one-off exhibiting free movement readily, we can explore whether this one can one day become part of our statics.

To build a house, one needs bricks.

As long as we desist from trading one-offs upon first movement and without proper fundamental and watch-list scrutiny, we should be safe.

When we convert the one-off into a static, news from the one-off corner translates for us into multiple wins over time.

Wishing you lucrative times in the markets!

🙂

Statics

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What are your statics?

What do you follow …

… all the time?

More importantly,…

…why follow something…

…all the time?

There are always new runners on the block.

Changing pursuits regularly should keep one busy, right?

Right.

Busy.

Busy winning?

Not so sure on that one.

Statics allow you to win through them…

…again and again.

Why?

Because you have felt their pulse.

Your fluidity has blended into their being, and you are one with the underlying.

You flow with them.

That’s when you win with them.

Ya…

…that’s when you keep winning with them.

How did you choose your statics?

Choice needs to be fool-proof for you.

Why?

If not, doubt will creep in.

That’s a poisonous crack.

It doesn’t allow you to win with your static.

Replace the static in question, this time without a doubt clouding your mind.

Or, bury your doubt.

Then, go and win.

Statics, is that even a word?

No idea.

It feels right, and I’m using it to channel across a pivotal concept.

That’s all that counts.

🙂