Tag Archives: #MassHypnosis

Constants

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Hey.

We play the game…

…with numbers.

Numbers are…

…our thing.

The thing with numbers is…

…that once we create a constant for ourselves…

…a pivot…

…something like a compass…

…AI doesn’t have access to it.

It’s our number.

It’s in our mind.

By the time AI gains direct access to our mind, we’ll be gone.

For example, we establish a low buying average, over many buys, in something we consider to hold value.

Each individual establishes their own, meaning…

…it’s each person’s own low buying average.

It decides the multiple.

It’s the centre-half. The libero. It creates the play. It’s unique to a person. No AI access. The whole game has been taken away from AI. It remains a human game. It’s not what the masses are doing. It’s contrarian. It’s going to make money.

Volatility is a constant.

Disruption is a constant.

Fear is a constant.

Greed is a constant.

Mass-behaviour is a constant.

Pigs getting slaughtered is a constant.

We play it by constants.

We’ve even started using unique mass-logic defying indicators, that only we have defined, that no one else knows about or can dream of, and we’re using them successfully, with no access to AI.

We’re functioning from within a matrix where we control the game, AI doesn’t.

Beauty is, outside of our protective matrix, we have access to all of AI’s capabilities, should we choose to use them.

Not yet though. Specifically after the 160+ girls murder rumoured to be caused by intel provided by AI, correct me if I’m wrong. AI as it currently is doesn’t seem ready for seamless implementation. All those foolishly believing so at this moment are the pigs referred to above. Pigs get what? Slaughtered. I didn’t say this first. It’s a common market saying. Markets are a – constant. We trust constants.

There will be many more blow-ups before seamlessness is achieved.

Think of banking systems causing and compounding massive errors because of blind reliability on AI.

This of AI suggested war strategy backfiring because of lack of understanding of human psyche.

Think of investment strategy imploding, left with eyes wide shut to AI, owing to lack of proper understating of human behaviour and its unpredictability. Anyways, on the plus side…

…think of any level of positive upheaval that AI will cause.

Think maximum.

Thought?

Since we play it by constants, we’ll continue to thrive, maximum disruption and beyond.

Such is the power of constants, that we successfully harness.

Mindset

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How long is this lasting?

Everyone’s asking.

I have another question, …

…since no one knows the answer to that above question.

My question is, …

… as far as your market strategy is concerned, …

… why are you even asking?

Just implement your strategy na.

Asking means you don’t know what to do.

Which brings us to some more observations.

‘Don’t know what to do’ state of affairs is digestible, …

… if this is your first time.

First time as in first time facing such conditions.

Conditions?

Panic. Confusion. Sell and ask later mindset. Gullibility. Mass hypnosis. Massive spin-doctoring. Etc.

If you’ve seen such stuff before and haven’t devised a plan for next time round, you are not excused, but please do so now.

If you’ve been through all this more than twice, and still don’t have a plan for situations like this one now, well, maybe you should rethink your market foray. Are you in the right space? Are you doing it out of compulsion? Keeping up with some Joneses? Whatever applies. Rethink. Shape in, put a strategy in place for market crashes, or, shape out, meaning, do something else where your expertise is challenged, and emerges forth naturally.

It boils down to rewiring.

What boils down to rewiring?

One’s behaviour during a crash.

Not panicking? Coolly implementing set strategy? Liquid enough, exactly for such situations? Not looking over your shoulder to see what strategy someone else is implementing? Not asking others for opinions? Implementing your own, mapped course of action without regret?

Great. That’s a fantastic mindset to have earned.

Such a mindset is going to take you places when mass psychologies reverse.

Wait and watch.

Basics Baby

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In the…

…ongoing…

…and incoming…

…frenzy…

…there’s only one go-to strategy…

…for me.

Basics…

…always.

During CoViD, during which everything was supposed to go bankrupt, one stuck to the ‘Basics, Always’ approach, and the rest became History.

This, today, has the potential to become a CoViD like crash.

First up, there’s been mass AI hypnosis. Everyone and their Aunties are in the loop and are talking AI. No one cares anymore about companies with great fundamentals and a penchant cum track record for metamorphosis. It’s ok. We do, since that’s what counts for a steady, long-term return in the market. We are not greedy. We wish to put away our money safely, not let inflation eat at it, and we would like it to grow over the next twenty to thirty odd years. We’re balanced. We’re basic. We’re simple. We’re the opposite of complicated and sophisticated.

And now, there’s all out war. Provoked. Just to bury Epstein consequences? All pipelines choked. Gold-nugget question being asked in this moment is…

…how should one act?

Should one get swept into the AI madness and buy into abysmally high PE multiples? Infinite PE multiples? Should one buy international stocks? Gold? Bitcoin? Silver? Sit in cash? WHAT?

Answer in such scenarios is SIMPLE, always.

Basics. Baby.

Basics, always.

Basics to the rescue.

What are your basics? Go back to them.

I’ll tell you my basics. I’ve gone back to them since I started buying, February 6th onwards. And I shall remain with them, till I’ve finished buying, or till I’m fully invested, whichever comes first.

Shareholder-friendly managements.

Companies with clean balance sheets.

Companies with zero or quasi-zero long-term debt.

Free cashflow to market cap upwards of 2% for large- and mid-caps, and upwards of 1% for small-caps.

Companies with multi-decade penchants and track-records for / of successful metamorphosis and navigation through disruption.

Margin of safety. Each high-conviction buy lowers average. Mathematics to support buying and selling. A low average has the capacity to quickly give a multiple in better times, from where then one’s principal can be skimmed off to fight another battle, and the profit stays in the market for eternity, on the back of the mathematics of compounding.

These are my basics. Shared with you, with pleasure, to inspire you to find yourself in the chaos. Use these till you find your own. You can pay it forward. Leads to a better world.

One doesn’t need more. Just one’s basics. Basics that are superimposable on the entire market, and when something conforms, there’s action. Like now, for me.

Please go back to your basics at a time like this. That’s why you have developed them. Your happy, go to place. Market success is more about a high-conviction frame of mind with holding power.

The rest, rest assured, will be History. Go for it.

🙂

Yawn

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Mass hypnosis…

…sweeps psychology…

…into a space where common sense…

…goes out of the window.

Such is the power of a pseudo ideology vis-à-vis a public that is now constantly in fight or flight mode.

Since CoViD.

Vaccinations.

Constant pursuit of growth at any cost.

Next story.

Next story.

Next story.

Let’s spin them a yarn.

Not any yarn.

A yarn that looks very realistic. Cut to ten years ahead, and the yarn probably alters current reality to a yet uncertain level. However…

…it’s not true NOW, in the shape it’s being spun and sold.

Masses are lapping it up. No need for implementation proof, no need for some years of field testing, perhaps at least five, antibiotics take ten in the actual world, no need for anything, no discounting for blunders, just spin it and we’ll lap it up. Ok.

Please do so. We, on the other hand, shall take huge advantage of your mass gullibility, masses. That’s why we remain liquid, for exactly these mass hypnoses.

Yes, we are buyers for Indian IT.

We’ll be buying till the bottom and slightly beyond.

We are fearless. Over more than two decades, we have created conditions for ourselves, mentally, in our environments, financially, which have thrown fear out of the equation.

Our strategy is one that benefits from ridiculous crowd behaviour. Again and again, we’ve gone against crowds, and emerged with multiples, financially free to take our principals out and deploy these into the next mania, panic, or whatever have you.

And so shall it be this time.

We are liquid enough to keep buying Indian IT, with small entry quanta, right to the mid single digit PE levels. Yes, we have that conviction.

Why?

First up, track record. 40 years of successful navigation through disruption. This disruption is different you say? Replace billable hours with a 1000 times more outcomes coupled with handholding, and revenue streams make billable hours look like dust particles. This one para just breaks the back of the story being sold. Do I think it’s possible? Yes. ‘Necessity is the mother of invention’, and the companies we buy have track records to prove that they are capable of emerging in the avatar that is required.

Then, poise. Zero or quasi zero long term debt. Massive free cash-flow per annum on the balance sheets, i.e., the conditions and means to R&D one’s way through. And, why is the public discounting the last five years that have been laden with exactly such R&D? Why is the public further discounting the level-headed input of Indian IT into AI? Owned billions put in with equilibrium. Indian approach. Borrowed trillions thrown in without looking left and right. Western approach. BIG DIFFERENCE.

Then there’s Buffettology. Tried and tested. Down the ages. Value. Deep discounts. Quality. BUY. HOLD. Beats most growth pursuits without having to look. Time and effort requiring growth pursuits are another story, and those pursuing them also become slaves, as in they don’t own their time. WE DO. WE OWN OUR TIME. HUGE WIN.

We are independent, and this current panic shall enhance our level of independence financially in the medium term, which is when we will pull out our current principals going in now, leaving part of our multiples in the market for further compounding.

Pulled out principals will then be deployed into the next panic.

One can already feel it brewing.

No Pharma required anymore. AI and implants will cure everything.

No Auto sector required anymore, it’s merged with the AI sector, or, better still, Auto is now AI. Forget Auto. Invest in AI. You automatically get Auto. Aviation. Tourism. Banking. Everything.

Etc.

New bottles. One after another.

Same old wine.

This time is always different. Ok, keep it rolling.

We’ll just keep doing our common sense thing each time, which is deploying, making a multiple, and then pulling our principal out.

And repeat.