Poise

Hey.

Story’s changed already.

IT has suddenly become a defensive buy, it seems.

Not perceived as oil dependent.

See how fast that happened.

Five weeks ago one was hearing the RIP bugles for IT, or so the spin-doctors were trying to spin it.

Bottom-line : don’t believe the stories being spun. Have your own…

… high conviction.

And, the opportunity is…

…now.

Make up your mind.

Invest where you see stability and growth. Invest in India.

There are a lot of high conviction ideas in India that can be latched on to.

Fear makes good investments fall too. That is happening now. To take advantage of this effect, one needs to be fearless with high conviction.

How does one build high conviction in a stock?

Repeated shareholder-friendliness shown by a management.

Clean balance-sheet.

Abundance of free cashflow.

Debt-free-ness.

Longevity.

Vision.

Margin of safety.

That’s it.

Oh, one more thing.

Don’t force the market.

Let it make you enter.

Be poised with a funded GTT order in place before market open.

Keep doing this throughout the fall, as margin of safety deepens. One can do this if one has created enough liquidity during good times, and if one keeps entering with small entry quanta proportional to one’s networth.

Idea is to enter with and into high conviction multiple times, each time lowering the buying average.

With that, one sets oneself up for a fast multiple when markets recover.

It’s boiling down to…

…poise.

Staples

At the start of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, …

…and well into it,…

…as per media reports, …

…the matter should have been over / resolved / won…

…way, way, …

…way back.

Guess which media’s reports were reaching us.

Were they reporting correctly? Or brainwashing?

You tell me.

Is that particular conflict over?

You tell me.

Who is emerging from the conflict?

You tell me.

Which media’s reports are reaching us wrt current war outbreak?

You tell me. If you don’t, let me tell you. Same spin-doctors as always.

Only, this time around, one has gotten more selective in what one believes.

Ya, ya, this current conflict is all but won, it’s only a matter of days, sure, adversary will be on the table for talks etc. etc. Meanwhile…

…we mentally prepare for another…

…Vietnam.

Afghanistan.

Iraq.

Russia-Ukraine.

Prepare as in length, devastation, impact, whole shebang.

Only one thing is true.

NO ONE KNOWS.

Amongst other things, the word ‘narrative’ has become a by-word for…

…lies…

…so it might be a better ploy to…

…not believe.

Also meanwhile, we keep doing our staples.

What are these?

Our outlined course of action, should such a situation arise as the one that has.

What’s our mental programming?

That this can go anywhere.

How long do we keep going?

Till it lasts, or till we exhaust our ammunition, if this lasts beyond.

Ammunition? Are we fighting?

Not a war. Just usual markets. In the markets, liquidity is ammunition. One wishes to be fully invested, thus this strategy has been devised for exactly such scenarios.

Simple as that?

Ya, simple as staples.