Tag Archives: #LongTermFool

Gracefully retiring CostFreeNess for Oneself

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Hey.

Comes a time, when a concept has done its duties towards one.

One’s own philosophy has undergone many x.y upgrades, on the back of the wealth being created by a concept, …

… … one like … …

…CostFreeNess.

Why would someone then retire such a concept?

Perhaps requirements from the field of action have changed.

Yes.

That’s the one.

Let’s divide the timeline of action into before and after.

Before today, the day of retirement [of CostFreeNess, for me], I was getting established.

The extra boost supplied by CostFreeNess was…

…required.

It gave a feeling of doing something right.

I don’t need that validation anymore.

Walking towards different heights, climbing new peaks, setting forth in motion new paths, pioneering a new trajectory – casting off the transient and revealing the true – to quote a central axiom of Nichiren Buddhism – all this – requires walking free from older concepts that were once pivotal for one.

Were.

What’s coming is not where these are pivotal anymore.

Hence the retirement, for myself.

With lots of thankfulness and gratitude.

CostFreeNess is long not done for others, in different phases of their market trajectory.

CostFreeNess is a king-maker.

I remember describing it as the closest thing to a holy grail in the markets, starting the sentence with, if I remember correctly, that ‘although no holy grail in the markets exists, …’

In this space, you’ll find many, many pieces, during which this concept was developed and during which it saw itself through, to its logical conclusion.

Of course many others would have discovered this pivot for themselves; CostFreeNess is a universal phenomenon, albeit abstract; it exists like the wind or the rain, or like sunlight and the mountains.

No one here is claiming that they are the founders of anything.

If at all, I have repeatedly remarked, that …

… we stand on the shoulders of giants.

And, to make it a better world, we pay our debts forward.

At times, something we work on …

… becomes a giant …

… like CostFreeNess.

Please feel free to stand on the shoulders of a giant called CostFreeNess, and progress on the back of its propulsion.

🙂

Gamble Ramble

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In sixteen hundred something, …

…most of mankind believed swans…

…to be white.

People would use the metaphor ‘black swan’, to insinuate things or events that were considered to be …

…‘impossible’.

Cut to now.

Black swans exist.

In reality.

The bird, in Australia.

The disastrous event genre, amongst elsewhere, also in markets.

Events earlier considered ‘impossible’, now happening…

…regularly.

Big moves.

An index going circuit. Multiple times — has happened.

Stock doing 20% up or down is no great shakes.

10%+ moves are like bread and butter these days.

News gets factored in within minutes to an hour.

Which brings us to the elephant in the room.

Can one leave the trading screen?

If one has chosen to trade, that is.

Hmmm.

Screen all the time is something I don’t want at all.

Is it possible — to leave it, and go about care-freely with other work?

Leave to whom? Or, to what?

AI, for example?

Hmmmm.

Not too sure.

When moves are big, stop-losses get jumped. Happens all the time. Remember CHFUSD? Considered unbelievable at the time? Oil. Gold. Silver. Jane Street. Brexit. CoViD. List goes on.

What about overnight?

Overnight positions are most highly exposed to black-swan openings, period. That’s the risk overnight carries.

Then, why trade?

Exactly. If too much screen-time is a thing, forget intraday. If you want a sound sleep, forget overnight.

What do you do then?

I invest for the long-term. That’s my main. Distraction side-hustle is the trading window. Play-amounts. Long. Paper trading as of now till system becomes profitable. As of now, it’s not.

Not what?

Not profitable.

Worrying?

No.

Why?

Trading system is a distractor for me. It’s not about money. I want my attention to be away from mains.

Why?

Fear of doing too much there. Fiddling around one time too many.

What about trading systems that go short?

The idea of developing one is attractive.

So, then?

However, exposure to unlimited loss, full exposure to a black swan event should it happen, is a big discourager and demotivator.

Understood. Still, it’s the short systems that make money.

Correct. At the cost of max screen-time, tense nights, cortisol-laden days, and the whole negative spiral.

Point. So what does one do?

Have developed a ‘junior’.

What’s a ‘junior’?

A junior investment system, that lets candidates graduate to the senior system.

Oh, interesting. Selection. Survival of the fittest. Clever.

Thanks. Junior keeps me busy and distracted. Senior relaxes and doesn’t get rearranged unnecessarily. Decent balance. Linkage as in promotion ladder. Natural selection, as in that which doesn’t get promoted till a longish time-stop, is expunged.

Elegant. Slick. Wonderful. Why do you then need a trading system at all? Let it die out. No full-on screen-time. Relaxed nights.

Exactly. However, am still trying to find the right fit for the gambling instinct.

That which every human has? And needs to channel appropriately, lest it balloon?

Ya.

MarketAble

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What makes us…

…marketAble?

What’s it boiling down to?

The essence…

…or, if we will, the sediment…

…is…

…what…

…exactly?

It all starts off with savings.

Save, save, save.

Now, there’s a moat.

Let’s call it emergency fund, first.

Moat grows.

Comes a time, where we say… … enough.

That’s enough moat.

From that point onwards, we are able…

…to enter the market without the tensions of not having something to fall back on.

Within this time-frame of putting together an emergency fund and making it grow beyond critical mass, we haven’t been sitting idle.

Busy, baby.

Putting together a…

…system.

Rough stage.

Deployment stage, perhaps on paper.

Moat gone beyond expectations?

Right, system needs to be ready by now, to be deployed, live.

System goes live.

Refine.

Fine-tune.

Adjust.

Fiddle.

Attenuate.

Nail.

Will take some years.

In those years, we play it small.

Right.

Comes the sweet-spot.

You feel it.

System feels just…

…perfect…

…to us.

That’s the moment.

Now we can scale up.

We are continuing to, though, as per market situations — refine, fine-tune, adjust and attenuate.

Idea is to maintain the sweet-spot.

Goes away?

Bring it back.

Keep bringing it back.

Once we’ve learnt to keep bringing the sweet-spot back…

…we are then, from that point onwards…

…marketAble.